EVOLUTION AND EXTINCTION IN A CHANGING ENVIRONMENT: A QUANTITATIVE-GENETIC ANALYSIS

Because of the ubiquity of genetic variation for quantitative traits, virtually all populations have some capacity to respond evolutionarily to selective challenges. However, natural selection imposes demographic costs on a population, and if these costs are sufficiently large, the likelihood of extinction will be high. We consider how the mean time to extinction depends on selective pressures (rate and stochasticity of environmental change, and strength of selection), population parameters (carrying capacity, and reproductive capacity), and genetics (rate of polygenic mutation). We assume that in a randomly mating, finite population subject to density-dependent population growth, individual fitness is determined by a single quantitative-genetic character under Gaussian stabilizing selection with the optimum phenotype exhibiting directional change, or random fluctuations, or both. The quantitative trait is determined by a finite number of freely recombining, mutationally equivalent, additive loci. The dynamics of evolution and extinction are investigated, assuming that the population is initially under mutation-selection-drift balance. Under this model, in a directionally changing environment, the mean phenotype lags behind the optimum, but on the average evolves parallel to it. The magnitude of the lag determines the vulnerability to extinction. In finite populations, stochastic variation in the genetic variance can be quite pronounced, and bottlenecks in the genetic variance temporarily can impair the population's adaptive capacity enough to cause extinction when it would otherwise be unlikely in an effectively infinite population. We find that maximum sustainable rates of evolution or, equivalently, critical rates of environmental change, may be considerably less than 10% of a phenotypic standard deviation per generation.     

Estimating survival of the shortfin mako Isurus oxyrinchus (Rafinesque) in the north-west Atlantic from tag-recapture data

Survival was estimated for shortfin mako Isurus oxyrinchus in the north-west Atlantic from tag-recapture data. The data used in this study were collected by the National Marine Fisheries Service Cooperative Shark Tagging Programme from 1962 to 2003. In total, 6309 shortfin mako sharks were tagged, of which 730 were recaptured. The high recapture rate of 11·6% for this species provided adequate recapture data to carry out survival analyses. Estimates of survival were generated with the computer software MARK, which provided a means for estimating parameters from tagged animals when they were recaptured. The results of several models are presented with various combinations of constant and time-specific survival and recovery rates. A parametric bootstrap and the median variance inflation factor ( ) approach were used to test the fit of the general model to the data. The estimated indicated a very good model fit. The models with time invariant survival rate had the most support from the data and no group or time period effects were found. Recovery rate ( f ) appeared to increase from 0·043 in the early years to 0·056 in the later years. The nominal survival rate of 0·59 year⁻¹ was adjusted with an estimated tag-shedding rate of 0·26 year⁻¹ to generate a final corrected annual survival estimate of 0·79 with a 95% CI of 0·71–0·87.     

Size-scaling of zooplankton foraging in Arctic charr

Prey capture rate (number of prey s⁻¹) and the mode of feeding of Arctic charr Salvelinus alpinus were studied by performing foraging experiments with two sizes (1·1 and 1·8 mm) of Daphnia longispina prey. Arctic charr were particulate feeders at all densities tested. Adjusted for the effect of prey density, the capture rate showed a hump-shaped relationship with Arctic charr size for both sizes of D. longispina . Estimated attack rates ( a ) also tended to show a hump-shaped relationship with fish size. The estimated size-scaling exponent of the attack rate function, however, was relatively small, implying small changes in attack rate over fish sizes. Simultaneous estimations of a and handling time were used in combination with published data on fish metabolism and dry mass rations of prey to estimate maintenance resource density of prey as a function of Arctic charr mass. Maintenance resource densities increased monotonically with Arctic charr size, and rapidly as optimum fish size relative to attack rate on prey was passed.     

EFFECTS OF ARSENATE ON GROWTH OF NITROGEN-AND PHOSPHORUS-LIMITED CHLORELLA VULGARIS (CHLOROPHYCEAE) ISOLATES1

The effects of arsenate on the growth characteristics of five isolates of the freshwater alga, Chlorella vulgaris Beij., were examined. Two field isolates originated from arsenic-contaminated sites in Yukon, Canada and Kyushi, Japan; two reference isolates were obtained from the University of Texas Culture Collection. One isolate was selected for arsenic-tolerance in the laboratory. All five strains survived in culture solutions containing high arsenate concentrations. Arsenate (1–25 mM As) reduced photosynthesis and cell growth, as reflected by induced lag periods, slower growth rates, and lower stationary cell yields. Field isolates had shorter lag periods, higher growth rates, and enhanced cell yields compared to lab isolates when exposed to the same arsenic concentrations. Growth of the phosphorus-limited field strains was stimulated by the addition of arsenic. The cell yield of phosphorus-limited C. vulgaris Yukon, when treated with arsenic, was two times that of the phosphorus-limited control. This pattern was not evident when photosynthesis was used as a measure of cell response.     

Female‐biased migration of stream‐dwelling Dolly Varden in the Shiisorapuchi River, Hokkaido, Japan

The first evidence for female‐biased migration in a partially migratory stream‐dwelling salmonid the Dolly Varden Salvelinus malma , a phenomenon well known in sea‐run and lake‐run populations, is presented. Dolly Varden in the Shiisorapuchi River in central Hokkaido, Japan, used both tributaries, of which there are many, and the main stem, but spawned only in tributaries. The size structures of Dolly Varden (≥age 1 + years) in tributaries were unimodal (<100 mm fork length, L _F) during non‐spawning seasons but changed to bimodal during spawning seasons (lower mode <110 mm, upper mode >120 mm L _F). Mature individuals were observed in both modal groups. From the trapping and census data, the small group appeared to be tributary resident and the large group main stem migrant. Males were common in both resident and migrant components. Most females, however, migrated to the main stem to mature, indicating female‐biased migration.     

Effect of Temperature on the Formation of Microsclerotia of Verticillium dahliae

Microsclerotium formation by six isolates of Verticillium dahliae was studied at different temperatures both in vitro and in Arabidopsis thaliana . In vitro mycelial growth was optimal at 25°C, but microsclerotium formation was greatest at 20°C (two isolates) or 15–20°C (one isolate). Seedlings of A. thaliana were root-dipped in a conidial suspension, planted, and either placed at 5, 10, 15, or 25°C, or left at 20°C until the onset of senescence, after which some of the plants were placed at 5, 10, 15, or 25°C. The amount of microsclerotia per unit of shoot weight was assessed in relation to isolate and temperature. The optimal temperature for production of microsclerotia was 15–25°C. Two isolates each produced about 10 times more microsclerotia than each of the other four isolates. For these isolates, high R ²_adj.-values of 0.77 and 0.66 were obtained, with temperature and its square as highly significant (P   < 0.001) independent variables. R ²_adj.-values for the other isolates varied between 0.28 and 0.39. Moving plants to different temperatures at the onset of senescence led to microsclerotial densities that were intermediate between densities on plants that had grown at constantly 20°C and plants grown at other temperatures. This suggests that vascular colonization rate and rate of microsclerotium formation are similarly affected by temperature. The senescence rate of plants appeared unimportant except for plants grown at 25°C, which showed the highest amounts of microsclerotia per unit of plant weight in the most rapidly senescing plants.     

Don C. Ohadike: The Man, his Intellectual Legacy and African Historiography

It is difficult to completely understand the life history of an intellectual excluding an understanding of his family upbringing and formative years. Family upbringing and childhood environment, often the less known part of a life history, play crucial roles in shaping the ideas and values individuals espouse in their adult life. Notwithstanding, this paper is not concerned with Don C. Ohadike’s childhood. It rather focuses on the professional career of our able historian – that is the part of his life as revealed by his most outstanding published writings. Ohadike’s published works contain a wellspring of idioms that tell much about his values, quality of mind, and his mission as an African historian. Ohadike was a humanist, an African patriot, and a nationalist crusader. His entire philosophy centered on safeguarding his African identity in an emergent world of cultural imperialism. The funds for this research were provided by a NEH-funded fellowship at the Schomburg Center, New York in the Spring of 2007. I owe a lot of gratitude to Professor John McLeod and Dean Blaine Hudson for granting me the extra incentives to pursue my research in New York. While all errors and misinterpretations are mine, I wish to thank the editors and anonymous reviewers for Journal of Dialectical Anthropology for their perspective comments and suggestions on earlier drafts of this paper.     

Fishers' Knowledge of Marine Species Assemblages: Bridging between Scientific and Local Ecological Knowledge in Southeastern Puerto Rico

Increasingly, local ecological knowledge (LEK) held by groups of people engaging directly with their ecosystems for food production is recognized as a valuable tool for understanding environmental change, as well as for ecosystem management and conservation. However, the acceptance of LEK for resource management has been partly hindered by difficulties in translating local knowledge into a form that can be applied directly to Western scientific endeavors. Anthropology's focus on cultural meaning makes its practitioners uniquely qualified to find common ground between different systems of knowledge. Here, I report the use of ethnographic methods to represent Puerto Rican small-scale fishers' knowledge about tropical coastal habitat connectivity and the composition of species assemblages by underwater habitats. These two topics are of current interest for tropical fishery science and their study can benefit from fishers' extensive experience with the coastal environments on which they depend.